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Financial Outlook

Tsunami

There is a wave of defaults and bankruptcies building in the economic ocean and it will soon become a tsunami. This tsunami will swamp the bond market and then the Federal Reserve, if they really do what…

Financial Outlook

Make Adjustments

We have all had to make adjustments from time to time, both large and small. As evidenced by the number in our herd, we are a fairly adaptable species. So, while we resist making them, we are pretty good…

Financial Outlook

Filtering the Noise

I have an old-ish pair of noise-cancelling headphones, and to my untrained ear, they sound like they filter the noise by just making a low humming sound in the background. They remind me of the media right…

Financial Outlook

What’s Next?

As a follow up to our last post, I thought we’d offer some perspective on what’s next for markets because we’re seeing a lot of half-baked messages on the internet. As I type, the US stock market is down 8% on the day, and I’m seeing weather forecasters and bartenders offering investment advice to people asking what they should do. What’s next for markets is anybody’s guess. What’s next for you is entirely within your control.?

Financial Outlook

Pushing the River

Recently, a close friend told me she felt like she was trying to push the river. It was the first and only time I can recall anyone using the term, and it has stuck with me since. It comes to mind when I hear people talk about protectionist policies intended to stem globalism and close borders.

Financial Outlook

What Goes Down

There are two major economic trends that have been unfolding for almost forty years now, and both are nearing a turning point. Interest rates and tax rates have been declining since the early 1980s and both must go up at some point. I’ve been telling our clients that tax and interest rates are going to go up for so long now I sound like a nut job. But sooner or later, every prognosticator is right.

Financial Outlook

The Inverted Yield Curve and You

One thing Republicans and Democrats generally agree upon is the importance of avoiding interference with central bank policy. If central bank leaders are politically motivated, they will naturally tend…

Financial Outlook

The Writing on the Wall

They say every prognosticator is eventually right, and I’m starting to feel like it might be my moment. But it’s a moment I never wanted to come, and it does not feel good.

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